Can Alcaraz preserve primary after his damage?
Djokovic, Ruud and Tsitsipas may steal the best place within the rating primarily based on his efficiency on the Australian Open, the place the Murcian is out resulting from damage
Nadal, regardless of being quantity 2, has no mathematical choices since he defends essentially the most factors: the two,000 achieved by profitable the title in 2022
The dangerous information of the damage to Carlos Alcaraz, who has broken the semimembranosus muscle in his proper leg, corroborates the dangerous luck that has recently been accompanying the number one in world tennis. His absence may make him lose this situation: Stefanos Tsitsipas, Casper Ruud and Novak Djokovic are his most important threats.
Rafa Nadal, regardless of being quantity two and his rapid pursuer, has no mathematical choices as he defends the title and there are 2,000 factors that he should shield. The excellent news for Alcaraz is that having solely reached the third spherical in 2022, now he’ll lose simply 90 factors. The difficulty is how a lot the others earn.
The one with essentially the most choices to grab the number one one is Djokovic. The one from Belgrade, again after his deportation final 12 months, is the highest favorite. ‘Nole’ will arrive on the match with 4,970 factors if he loses within the Adelaide last -against Korda- and 50 extra, 5,020, if he wins it, so he may add 2,000 within the occasion of a title and rise once more on the prime of the classification
for his half Casper Ruud, who didn’t take part in 2022 resulting from an ankle damage, will add all the pieces he earns though to achieve primary he should attain the ultimate. If he misplaced in that final occasion, he may nonetheless be primary so long as Djokovic did not attain the ultimate and beat him.
The final and most distant possibility is to Stefanos Tsitsipas, who performed in and misplaced final season’s semifinalsone thing that gave him 720 factors, so he may add a most of 1280 if he wins the match. The Greek, due to this fact, doesn’t rely solely on himself since he ought to hope that Ruud was not a finalist on the Rod Laver Area.
Together with his resignation from the Australian Open, Carlos Alcaraz, who had not performed an official match because the Masters 1000 in Paris final November, has thus seen a trajectory of eight Grand Slam tournaments performed consecutively within the final two years minimize briefwherein he surpassed a minimum of one spherical, one thing that no different participant on the skilled circuit can say.
In Australia he made the second spherical in 2021 and third in 2022, at Roland Garros he reached the third spherical in 2021 and the quarterfinals in 2022, at Wimbledon he reached the second spherical two years in the past and the fourth within the season that has simply ended and in the USA, after signing a quarterfinal at its premiere, achieved the title final September.
Thus, in his second participation in every of the large 4 he far improved what was performed within the first and the Australian was going to be the primary in whose last draw he appeared for the third time. To date his baggage within the sum of these championships is 24 wins and 7 losses.